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Red144
314042.2
425342.7
526043.7
Blue137
186827.5
35968.3
47218.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13875050100150200250144137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#40
43.70.5
47.748.3
Auto0.1
Teleop43.6
End0.0
blue by 24.6
359
#11
68.32.5
60.462.9
Auto-1.8
Teleop70.1
End0.0
Second
4253
#53
42.70.5
45.546.0
Auto0.4
Teleop42.3
End0.0
red by 15.1
1868
#41
27.52.5
19.221.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
3140
#48
42.20.5
39.840.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 33.6
4721
#72
8.52.5
8.410.8
Auto-1.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0