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Red184
12660.0
287633.2
162539.0
Blue214
350420.2
403956.4
198685.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11416050100200250300184214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#9
60.02.9
55.858.7
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
blue by 25.0
85.02.8
87.790.5
Auto6.9
Teleop78.1
End0.0
Second
1625
#54
39.02.9
37.240.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
blue by 17.4
4039
#14
56.42.8
53.456.2
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Third
2876
#59
33.22.9
32.735.6
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 12.9
3504
#56
20.22.8
17.220.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0