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Red144
365332.1
332418.9
171849.2
Blue159
540246.5
97178.1
14439.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76153050100200250300144159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#35
49.22.6
47.750.3
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
blue by 28.9
971
#1
78.10.6
70.971.5
Auto6.3
Teleop71.8
End0.0
Second
3653
#64
32.12.6
29.632.3
Auto0.5
Teleop31.6
End0.0
blue by 14.4
5402
#22
46.50.6
44.144.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0
Third
3324
#57
18.92.6
14.016.6
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 20.7
144
#49
39.60.6
31.231.8
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0