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Red133
283455.4
546522.3
335222.8
Blue102
418351.8
77115.0
529117.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9365050150200133102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#32
55.42.7
52.655.3
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 3.6
4183
#12
51.81.5
42.143.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
3352
#58
22.82.7
16.919.6
Auto1.8
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 5.8
5291
#76
17.11.5
19.821.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
5465
#51
22.32.7
22.224.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 7.2
771
#70
15.01.5
10.311.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0