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Red128
438149.2
453624.4
438452.2
Blue186
176867.4
213046.2
543731.9
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113131050150200250300350128186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#25
52.20.4
48.048.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop52.3
End0.0
blue by 15.2
1768
#43
67.42.7
60.563.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop67.9
End0.0
Second
4381
#45
49.20.4
51.651.9
Auto0.6
Teleop48.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
2130
#17
46.22.7
47.850.5
Auto0.2
Teleop46.0
End0.0
Third
4536
#52
24.40.4
20.721.1
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.6
5437
#36
31.92.7
24.627.2
Auto2.0
Teleop29.9
End0.0