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Red232
263043.9
496771.7
36877.8
Blue150
136917.8
356631.7
285268.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18910050150250300232150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
77.82.5
71.974.4
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
red by 9.1
2852
#27
68.81.6
65.667.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
71.72.5
70.072.5
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
red by 39.9
3566
#44
31.71.6
30.932.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
2630
#18
43.92.5
39.542.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
red by 26.1
1369
#69
17.81.6
21.122.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0