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Red70
19350.1
350718.3
314042.2
Blue120
120852.1
388119.6
188437.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159840608014016018070120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#38
50.12.3
54.752.3
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
blue by 2.0
1208
#20
52.10.8
51.252.0
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Second
3140
#48
42.22.3
40.338.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
1884
#31
37.30.8
35.135.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Third
3507
#68
18.32.3
21.319.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3881
#65
19.60.8
17.718.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0