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Qual 982015 Carver Division
Red124
438149.2
356631.7
372123.4
Blue108
388119.6
453624.4
544242.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11465050100150200124108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#45
49.20.7
51.9→52.6
Auto0.6
Teleop48.6
End0.0
red by 6.6
5442
#16
42.61.6
35.9→37.5
Auto0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
3566
#44
31.70.7
32.5→33.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 7.3
4536
#52
24.41.6
21.1→22.7
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
3721
#63
23.40.7
25.8→26.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 3.8
3881
#65
19.61.6
18.5→20.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0