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Qual 992015 Carver Division
Red171
171761.1
380221.4
418351.8
Blue142
540246.5
55467.9
438452.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238650100150200250171142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1717
#5
61.12.5
57.3→59.8
Auto7.8
Teleop53.2
End0.0
red by 8.9
4384
#25
52.22.4
48.4→50.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop52.3
End0.0
Second
4183
#12
51.82.5
43.6→46.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 5.4
5402
#22
46.52.4
44.7→47.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0
Third
3802
#60
21.42.5
20.7→23.2
Auto2.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 13.6
5546
#67
7.92.4
1.6→4.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0