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Red172
497314.2
167164.2
208550.4
Blue104
449821.1
76620.5
255122.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67290204080100120140160172104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.26.0
36.442.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.5
End0.0
red by 41.6
2551
#15
22.65.7
14.520.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
50.49.1
16.425.4
Auto0.3
Teleop50.1
End0.0
red by 29.3
4498
#17
21.15.7
11.216.9
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
4973
#27
14.26.0
10.416.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
766
#25
20.55.7
9.815.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0