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Red79
70154.7
49044.4
318912.4
Blue19
25310.3
248926.6
69215.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593102040801001201401607919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#5
54.71.2
38.439.6
Auto1.7
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 28.1
2489
#10
26.61.5
16.615.2
Auto0.9
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
3189
#45
12.41.8
10.912.8
Auto0.7
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 2.8
692
#38
15.21.0
13.612.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
4904
#51
4.41.8
7.69.5
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 6.0
253
#39
10.31.5
6.24.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0