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Red63
264336.5
325717.9
385920.4
Blue13
213517.2
1147.5
527410.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362702060801006313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#7Sur
36.52.3
13.816.0
Auto1.5
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 19.3
2135
#23Sur
17.21.3
9.37.9
Auto0.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
3859
#14
20.42.3
12.414.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 10.0
5274
#48
10.41.3
5.74.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
3257
#19
17.92.3
9.812.1
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 10.4
114
#54
7.51.3
14.112.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0