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Red22
24737.2
10017.6
142210.9
Blue25
52505.6
366919.5
56825.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373301020506070802225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#36
17.60.8
14.413.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 8.0
568
#16
25.60.8
7.87.1
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
1422
#55DQ
10.91.3
11.710.4
Auto0.7
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3669
#30
19.50.8
13.913.1
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
2473
#53
7.21.3
11.29.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
red by 1.5
5250
#44
5.60.8
12.711.9
Auto0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0