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Red14
107221.0
466914.7
543011.2
Blue56
208550.4
255122.6
502313.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275901001502002501456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#41
21.01.6
9.07.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 29.4
50.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.3
Teleop50.1
End0.0
Second
4669
#29
14.71.6
14.112.5
Auto1.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 7.9
2551
#15
22.60.0
20.220.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5430
#33
11.21.6
9.98.3
Auto1.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5023
#28
13.80.0
10.810.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0