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Red2
49905.4
52505.6
415913.7
Blue130
220419.8
543011.2
167879.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241130501001502002502130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#34
13.72.6
18.916.3
Auto1.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 65.6
79.41.3
75.176.4
Auto8.6
Teleop70.8
End0.0
Second
5250
#44
5.62.6
12.810.2
Auto0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 14.1
2204
#20
19.82.2
20.222.4
Auto1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
4990
#47
5.42.6
7.44.8
Auto-1.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 5.8
5430
#33
11.22.2
8.310.5
Auto1.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0