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Red55
255122.6
24737.2
359823.5
Blue68
325033.4
69215.2
1147.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5048204060801005568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#13
23.50.9
19.420.3
Auto0.6
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 9.9
33.40.8
31.232.0
Auto2.0
Teleop31.4
End0.0
Second
2551
#15
22.60.9
19.820.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 7.4
692
#38
15.20.8
12.513.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
2473
#53
7.20.9
11.011.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 0.3
114
#54
7.51.4
7.58.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0