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Red84
128044.3
466914.7
527410.4
Blue53
145821.2
325623.2
304512.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425601001502002508453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.33.7
29.333.0
Auto0.2
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 21.1
3256
#22
23.20.8
20.821.6
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
4669
#29
14.73.7
9.513.1
Auto1.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 6.5
1458
#18
21.20.8
20.020.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5274
#48
10.43.7
7.010.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
3045
#31
12.60.8
15.015.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.1
End0.0