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Qual 592015 Sacramento Regional
Red111
325033.4
385920.4
145821.2
Blue154
56825.6
208550.4
70154.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7390050150200250300111154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#9
33.41.6
32.0→33.6
Auto2.0
Teleop31.4
End0.0
blue by 21.3
701
#5
54.73.2
45.7→48.9
Auto1.7
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
1458
#18
21.22.7
20.8→23.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 29.2
2085
#4
50.45.3
32.9→38.1
Auto0.3
Teleop50.1
End0.0
Third
3859
#14
20.42.7
25.3→28.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
568
#16
25.65.3
12.4→17.7
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0