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Red62
413523.2
55079.5
255122.6
Blue0
214413.2
52505.6
30136.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52450206080100120620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#24
23.20.5
17.918.4
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 10.0
2144
#32
13.23.9
24.620.7
Auto0.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
2551
#15
22.60.8
20.721.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 16.3
3013
#52
6.33.9
12.58.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Third
5507
#46
9.50.8
13.814.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 3.9
5250
#44
5.63.9
10.26.3
Auto0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0