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Red90
502610.3
167879.4
466914.7
Blue6
527410.4
214116.1
49044.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11120050150200250906

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.40.5
76.475.9
Auto8.6
Teleop70.8
End0.0
red by 63.3
2141
#40
16.12.4
14.412.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
4669
#29
14.70.9
13.112.3
Auto1.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
5274
#48
10.42.4
10.78.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5026
#37
10.30.9
10.910.0
Auto1.4
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
4904
#51
4.42.4
9.47.0
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End0.0