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Red18
502313.8
207322.1
220419.8
Blue128
304512.6
167164.2
66810.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4291015020025018128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#21
22.11.4
18.116.7
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 42.1
64.22.1
54.256.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.5
End0.0
Second
2204
#20
19.82.3
22.420.1
Auto1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 7.1
3045
#31
12.63.5
15.719.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
5023
#28
13.82.3
11.18.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 2.8
668
#43
10.93.5
16.520.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0