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Red30
213517.2
318912.4
549613.5
Blue11
415913.7
497314.2
142210.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060801003011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#23
17.21.0
17.716.7
Auto0.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 3.0
4973
#27
14.21.7
15.613.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Second
5496
#42
13.51.0
11.410.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4159
#34
13.72.9
16.313.4
Auto1.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
3189
#45
12.41.0
13.012.0
Auto0.7
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
1422
#55
10.92.9
13.610.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.2
End0.0