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Red94
413523.2
214116.1
361517.2
Blue68
264336.5
49905.4
248926.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406301001502002509468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4135
#24
23.22.4
18.420.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 13.3
36.50.5
29.129.6
Auto1.5
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
3615
#26
17.23.8
14.918.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 9.5
2489
#10
26.60.5
28.829.3
Auto0.9
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
2141
#40
16.13.8
12.115.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 10.7
4990
#47
5.40.5
3.84.3
Auto-1.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0