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Red20
527410.4
543011.2
24737.2
Blue114
167164.2
454337.0
29530.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111335010015020025030020114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5430
#33
11.20.8
13.712.8
Auto1.4
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 53.0
64.20.3
56.356.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.5
End0.0
Second
5274
#48
10.40.8
8.37.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 26.5
37.00.3
35.135.5
Auto1.5
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Third
2473
#53
7.20.8
8.88.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 23.4
295
#12
30.50.3
27.828.1
Auto0.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0