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Red20
52505.6
69215.2
318912.4
Blue52
207322.1
304512.6
449821.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275801001502052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
692
#38
15.20.6
14.113.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 6.9
2073
#21
22.10.1
16.716.5
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
3189
#45
12.41.0
12.011.0
Auto0.7
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 8.8
4498
#17
21.10.2
19.118.9
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
5250
#44
5.61.0
6.35.3
Auto0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3045
#31
12.60.2
19.219.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.1
End0.0