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Red35
76620.5
145821.2
214413.2
Blue10
25310.3
49044.4
142210.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70210501001502003510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
#18
21.22.3
23.521.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 10.3
1422
#55
10.91.1
10.79.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Second
766
#25
20.52.3
20.618.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 10.2
253
#39
10.31.1
11.910.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
2144
#32
13.22.3
20.718.4
Auto0.3
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 8.8
4904
#51
4.41.1
7.05.9
Auto0.7
Teleop3.6
End0.0