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Red20
1147.5
549613.5
502313.8
Blue10
502610.3
213517.2
30136.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22360501001502002010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5023
#28
13.80.4
8.88.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2135
#23
17.22.0
16.714.7
Auto0.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
5496
#42
13.50.4
10.410.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 3.2
5026
#37
10.32.0
10.08.1
Auto1.4
Teleop8.9
End0.0
Third
114
#54
7.50.4
5.95.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 1.1
3013
#52
6.32.0
8.66.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.0
End0.0