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Red156
29530.5
128044.3
264336.5
Blue144
10017.6
207322.1
208550.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9760050150200156144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.34.4
37.341.7
Auto0.2
Teleop44.0
End0.0
blue by 6.1
50.45.5
39.444.9
Auto0.3
Teleop50.1
End0.0
Second
36.54.4
29.634.0
Auto1.5
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 14.4
2073
#21
22.13.8
16.520.4
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
295
#12
30.53.0
28.131.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 12.9
100
#36
17.63.8
11.815.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0