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Red6
220419.8
248926.6
55079.5
Blue56
255122.6
325717.9
366919.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644602080100120140656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2489
#10
26.64.1
29.325.1
Auto0.9
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 4.0
2551
#15
22.60.4
21.522.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
2204
#20
19.84.5
20.115.6
Auto1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
3669
#30
19.50.4
15.916.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
5507
#46
9.54.1
14.19.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 8.4
3257
#19
17.90.4
12.913.3
Auto0.5
Teleop17.4
End0.0