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Red26
415913.7
76620.5
30136.3
Blue43
466914.7
385920.4
69215.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374601001502002503003502643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#25
20.51.0
18.317.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 0.1
3859
#14
20.40.3
21.321.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
4159
#34
13.71.0
14.713.7
Auto1.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
692
#38
15.20.2
13.513.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
3013
#52
6.31.0
6.65.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 8.3
4669
#29
14.70.3
11.711.5
Auto1.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0