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Red47
454337.0
49905.4
97138.0
Blue130
167164.2
255122.6
549613.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738805015020025030047130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#11
38.02.2
38.235.9
Auto0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 26.2
64.22.1
56.658.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.5
End0.0
Second
37.01.5
35.533.9
Auto1.5
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 14.4
2551
#15
22.63.0
22.025.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4990
#47
5.42.2
4.32.1
Auto-1.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 8.2
5496
#42
13.53.0
10.013.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0