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Red54
97138.0
502313.8
55079.5
Blue33
46438.3
318912.4
207322.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62370501001502005433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#11
38.00.4
35.935.5
Auto0.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 15.9
2073
#21
22.10.5
20.419.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
5023
#28
13.80.4
14.213.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 1.4
3189
#45
12.40.6
13.012.4
Auto0.7
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
5507
#46
9.50.4
9.99.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
4643
#49
8.30.5
8.88.3
Auto0.9
Teleop7.4
End0.0