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Qual 862015 Sacramento Regional
Red129
213517.2
56825.6
11882.1
Blue137
167879.4
49905.4
69215.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11279050100150200250129137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
82.10.9
76.3→77.2
Auto10.0
Teleop72.1
End0.0
red by 2.7
1678
#3
79.42.5
72.1→74.6
Auto8.6
Teleop70.8
End0.0
Second
568
#16
25.61.2
21.6→22.8
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 10.4
692
#38
15.22.5
13.3→15.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
2135
#23
17.21.2
13.0→14.2
Auto0.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 11.8
4990
#47
5.43.3
2.1→5.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0