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Red60
325623.2
52505.6
214116.1
Blue62
359823.5
549613.5
76620.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375401001502006062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#22
23.21.3
21.622.9
Auto0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3598
#13
23.50.6
23.323.9
Auto0.6
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
2141
#40
16.11.3
14.816.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
766
#25
20.50.6
17.317.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
5250
#44
5.61.3
4.45.6
Auto0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 7.9
5496
#42
13.50.6
13.013.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0