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Red130
208550.4
248926.6
449821.1
Blue52
220419.8
527410.4
497314.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions963105015020013052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.42.7
44.947.6
Auto0.3
Teleop50.1
End0.0
red by 30.7
2204
#20
19.80.6
19.119.8
Auto1.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
2489
#10
26.62.7
25.127.8
Auto0.9
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 12.5
4973
#27
14.20.5
13.714.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
4498
#17
21.12.7
19.722.3
Auto0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 10.7
5274
#48
10.40.6
9.810.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0