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Qual 162015 San Diego Regional
Red14
40145.2
576817.1
449818.5
Blue13
547715.5
49196.1
298417.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492604060801001201401413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4498
#32
18.51.5
22.6→21.1
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 0.7
2984
#24
17.70.6
15.3→14.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
5768
#26
17.12.3
13.9→11.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
5477
#42
15.51.0
9.2→8.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
4014
#55
5.22.3
10.8→8.5
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4919
#57
6.11.0
6.4→5.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.1
End0.0