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Red101
577217.3
347649.4
413914.1
Blue28
126633.1
370420.6
50258.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48452040608010010128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.43.0
25.528.5
Auto0.1
Teleop49.3
End0.0
red by 16.3
1266
#16
33.10.7
29.128.4
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
5772
#33
17.34.9
9.814.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 3.3
3704
#23
20.61.2
11.19.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
4139
#36
14.14.9
12.717.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
5025
#41
8.20.7
8.37.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0