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Red8
519928.1
345313.3
7026.1
Blue72
302129.4
520910.0
512442.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3660050100150872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#22
28.11.7
25.523.8
Auto0.7
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 14.5
42.60.8
33.033.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
3453
#29
13.32.8
12.59.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 16.1
29.40.7
18.118.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
702
#45
6.12.0
3.11.1
Auto0.2
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
5209
#49
10.01.1
7.78.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0