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Red7
562717.8
407813.9
374911.4
Blue35
312822.6
249625.5
447015.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235304080100120140160735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5627
#25
17.81.8
11.39.5
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 7.7
2496
#35
25.50.8
24.423.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
4078
#31
13.91.8
9.07.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 8.7
3128
#15
22.60.8
17.516.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
3749
#27
11.41.8
8.36.5
Auto0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4470
#18
15.90.8
8.67.8
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0