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Red34
162232.9
177217.1
84121.8
Blue10
47386.1
233929.2
39676.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5626040801001201403410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.0
25.925.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
2339
#21
29.21.1
19.518.5
Auto0.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
841
#19
21.81.0
11.410.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 15.2
3967
#52
6.61.8
5.43.6
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Third
1772
#46
17.11.6
16.314.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 11.0
4738
#56
6.11.8
6.64.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0