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Red84
81217.9
177217.1
416026.6
Blue41
576817.1
551410.2
162232.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524002060801001208441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#13
26.61.6
17.118.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
32.90.5
27.628.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
812
#37
17.91.6
19.821.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 0.7
5768
#26
17.10.8
11.312.2
Auto0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
1772
#46
17.12.7
14.717.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 6.9
5514
#54
10.20.8
4.04.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0