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Red106
449818.5
312822.6
512442.6
Blue48
576522.4
334113.5
498421.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79210406010012014016010648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.62.0
36.138.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
red by 20.2
5765
#28
22.41.4
9.410.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
3128
#15
22.62.0
15.817.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
4984
#12
21.00.9
15.716.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4498
#32
18.52.0
21.023.0
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 5.0
3341
#43
13.51.4
5.67.1
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0