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Red38
39526.5
233929.2
345313.3
Blue42
49196.1
396532.0
458311.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393820253035455055603842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2339
#21
29.20.1
18.518.3
Auto0.9
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 2.8
3965
#10
32.00.1
23.623.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.9
End0.0
Second
3453
#29
13.30.2
13.413.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
4583
#38
11.10.2
11.411.6
Auto0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
3952
#47
6.50.2
8.58.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
4919
#57
6.10.2
4.44.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.1
End0.0