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Red20
520910.0
39676.6
347015.0
Blue18
202919.8
50258.2
46169.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272701020304050602018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3470
#50
15.00.3
14.113.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2029
#11
19.80.6
10.49.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5209
#49
10.00.5
8.27.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 0.6
4616
#40
9.41.0
12.311.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
3967
#52
6.60.5
3.63.1
Auto0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5025
#41
8.20.6
6.86.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0