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Red40
36479.1
543017.3
265815.0
Blue4
407813.9
54749.2
47386.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31160406080100404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5430
#30
17.30.5
11.211.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 3.4
4078
#31
13.91.3
7.15.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
2658
#51
15.00.9
8.99.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 5.9
5474
#53
9.21.3
8.97.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
3647
#48
9.10.9
9.410.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 3.1
4738
#56
6.11.3
3.21.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0