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Red150
84121.8
396532.0
325535.0
Blue60
520910.0
312822.6
126633.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615820408010012014015060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.04.5
22.627.0
Auto0.1
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 1.8
1266
#16
33.10.1
28.828.7
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
3965
#10
32.04.5
25.329.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.9
End0.0
red by 9.4
3128
#15
22.60.1
22.122.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
841
#19
21.84.5
12.817.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 11.8
5209
#49
10.00.1
11.110.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0