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Red56
416026.6
298417.7
370420.6
Blue19
47386.1
254319.6
81217.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684402060801001201401605619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#13
26.60.5
25.224.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 7.0
2543
#20
19.61.2
21.220.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
3704
#23
20.60.8
22.321.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
812
#37
17.91.2
19.718.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
2984
#24
17.70.5
19.418.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 11.6
4738
#56
6.11.8
8.46.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0