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Red40
298417.7
347015.0
249625.5
Blue106
126633.1
325535.0
576522.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5577010015020025030040106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2496
#35
25.51.0
25.324.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 9.5
35.01.5
27.028.5
Auto0.1
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
2984
#24
17.71.0
18.817.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 15.4
1266
#16
33.11.5
28.730.2
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Third
3470
#50
15.01.0
16.015.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 7.4
5765
#28
22.42.0
20.422.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0