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Red72
396532.0
562717.8
448615.6
Blue48
334113.5
157239.3
47386.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5555506065707248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#10
32.01.0
29.830.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.9
End0.0
blue by 7.3
39.30.5
36.335.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Second
5627
#25
17.81.4
16.417.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
3341
#43
13.50.6
14.113.5
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
4486
#39
15.61.4
11.112.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
4738
#56
6.10.6
6.76.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0