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Red230
167898.8
254106.1
50276.7
Blue148
97154.9
208567.8
64927.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21313550100250300350230148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
106.10.4
105.0105.4
Auto12.3
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 38.4
67.80.1
68.468.4
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
98.80.4
97.798.1
Auto11.2
Teleop87.7
End0.0
red by 43.9
971
#4
54.90.1
55.655.5
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Third
5027
#55
6.70.4
5.45.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 20.9
649
#29
27.60.1
28.328.2
Auto0.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0